Sampdoria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
2 - 1
CTT
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAM
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 2
JUV
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2001 |
GEN
1 - 0
SAM
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 1
REG
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 1
MOD
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
MOD
0 - 1
EMP
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
VIC
0 - 5
MOD
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
PRG
6 - 3
MOD
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |