Sampdoria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAM
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
SAM
3 - 1
SPA
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 1
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
BOL
1 - 0
SAM
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
MOD
1 - 0
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
VIC
4 - 3
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 1
ACM
17%
23%
59%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MOD
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |