Sampdoria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
ACM
1 - 1
SAM
80%
12%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
SAM
2 - 1
JUV
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
SAM
3 - 1
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
SPA
1 - 0
SAM
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
SAM
1 - 3
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
MOD
2 - 1
VNZ
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
MOD
0 - 1
BOL
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
TOR
2 - 0
MOD
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
MOD
1 - 3
ROM
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |