Sampdoria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SAM
1 - 1
LIV
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
BAR
0 - 2
SAM
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 1
SAM
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
SAM
0 - 0
ACM
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
SAM
0 - 0
FIO
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 0
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
MOD
3 - 0
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
JUV
0 - 1
MOD
82%
12%
7%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ACM
2 - 1
MOD
76%
15%
10%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |