Sampdoria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
UDI
1 - 0
SAM
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ROM
4 - 0
SAM
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAM
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
REG
3 - 1
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
MES
1 - 3
ACM
16%
25%
59%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CAG
2 - 0
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MES
0 - 3
TOR
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |