Sampdoria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ROM
1 - 1
SAM
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 0
PAR
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 2
SAM
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAM
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 0
CAG
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
INT
5 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
FIO
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UDI
1 - 1
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2004 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 2
MES
68%
19%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |