Sampdoria vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
TRI
3 - 2
SAM
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
SAM
29%
24%
46%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SAM
0 - 1
COM
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 0
SAM
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
SAM
4 - 1
ROM
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
PAD
3 - 2
ASL
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
INT
6 - 3
ASL
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ASL
3 - 1
ROM
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
COM
4 - 0
ASL
48%
22%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
ASL
0 - 2
ACM
32%
23%
45%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |