Sampdoria vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
REG
0 - 2
SAM
18%
26%
56%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
USC
0 - 0
SAM
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1986 |
ROM
2 - 0
SAM
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
SAM
2 - 1
ROM
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
COM
0 - 2
SAM
33%
28%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
LEC
0 - 1
USC
60%
22%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
LEC
0 - 2
JUV
26%
30%
44%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
LEC
2 - 3
JUV
19%
27%
54%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ROM
2 - 3
LEC
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |