Sampdoria vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CAG
5 - 1
SAM
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 0
BRE
69%
21%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
PIS
0 - 1
SAM
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 1
RIM
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAM
38%
33%
30%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
62%
25%
13%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
AVE
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
TER
0 - 0
LEC
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
LEC
0 - 1
COM
58%
26%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 0
LEC
36%
31%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |