Sampdoria vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
3 - 1
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 0
SAM
59%
22%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAG
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAP
4 - 0
SAM
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 2
ACM
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
35%
29%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 1
ACM
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
GEN
45%
28%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |