Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Sampdoria vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
SAM
0 - 1
JUV
45%
24%
31%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
USF
1 - 1
SAM
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
SAM
2 - 1
REG
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
PAD
1 - 4
SAM
24%
28%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
SAM
1 - 1
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1995 |
UDL
0 - 2
FCP
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
FCP
3 - 0
LOU
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 43 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
UNM
0 - 0
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
FCP
3 - 0
BMA
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |