Sampdoria vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NOC
4 - 2
SAM
17%
27%
56%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
CTT
71%
18%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 2
SAM
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
SAS
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
VER
1 - 1
SAM
22%
29%
49%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ABN
1 - 3
CRO
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 1
ASG
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
CRO
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 1
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |