Europa League Knock-out stages 1/32
Global 7-1
Sampdoria vs FBK Kaunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SAM
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 1
INT
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
SAM
3 - 3
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 2
SAM
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SAM
0 - 3
ROM
26%
26%
49%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FBK
1 - 0
FAS
75%
17%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 2
FBK
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
FBK
0 - 2
AAB
46%
24%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
AAB
2 - 0
FBK
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2008 |
FBK
2 - 1
GLA
47%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |