Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Sampdoria vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
CAT
4 - 2
SAM
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
SAM
4 - 1
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
REG
0 - 1
SAM
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 0
SIE
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MES
0 - 2
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ASC
3 - 0
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
REG
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 2
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 1
FIO
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
LIV
0 - 2
CHI
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |