Intertoto Cup Final
Global 2-0
Sampdoria vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
CVA
0 - 1
SAM
41%
29%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
FIO
5 - 1
SAM
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 0
SAM
40%
29%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 0
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
CVA
0 - 1
SAM
41%
29%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
CVA
3 - 0
MAK
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
MAK
0 - 4
CVA
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CVA
2 - 1
RIL
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SVA
2 - 0
CVA
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |