Sampdoria vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EMP
2 - 1
SAM
36%
28%
37%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
3 - 2
USA
79%
14%
6%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAM
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ROM
3 - 1
SAM
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAL
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAD
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PAD
4 - 2
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAD
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 3
PAD
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |