Sampdoria vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
SAM
3 - 0
PAL
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
ROM
2 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
8%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 2
FIO
41%
29%
31%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
CAG
1 - 0
SAM
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
UDI
3 - 2
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
CAG
0 - 1
UDI
30%
26%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
FIO
5 - 1
CAG
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
CAG
0 - 2
INT
13%
23%
64%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
CAG
1 - 0
SAM
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
EMP
4 - 1
CAG
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |