Sampdoria vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
NOC
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 2
SAM
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
ASC
75%
18%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAS
0 - 0
SAM
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
VER
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
GRO
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
PES
1 - 1
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |