Sampdoria vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROM
4 - 1
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 4
TOR
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ACM
3 - 2
SAM
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAS
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 0
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 2
BOL
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 2
ATL
23%
25%
53%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SAS
2 - 2
BOL
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 2
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |