Sampdoria vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SAM
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 0
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 0
SAM
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SAM
4 - 1
SIE
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NAP
2 - 1
BOL
55%
26%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 3
GEN
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 0
LIV
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 0
BOL
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |