Serie B Playoffs Title Play-off Final
Global 4-2
Sampdoria vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SAS
1 - 1
SAM
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
SAS
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAM
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 3
PES
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 2
SAM
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
VER
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAM
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAR
4 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |