Sampdoria vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
PES
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
JUS
78%
16%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
REG
0 - 0
SAM
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
76%
17%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
35%
29%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
VER
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 2
BRE
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 4
VAR
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 1
CTT
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |