Sampdoria vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAM
66%
18%
15%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
USF
2 - 1
SAM
39%
32%
30%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
SAM
0 - 0
RIM
65%
23%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
SAM
1 - 0
PRG
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
PIS
0 - 2
SAM
46%
30%
25%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 1
PIS
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
LAZ
3 - 2
VAR
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
VAR
3 - 1
BAR
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
SPA
0 - 1
VAR
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |