Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 5-5
Sampdoria vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1995 |
TOR
0 - 0
SAM
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
SAM
2 - 1
USC
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1995 |
ARS
3 - 2
SAM
39%
29%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
NAP
2 - 0
SAM
44%
27%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
SAM
0 - 3
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
ASV
0 - 4
ARS
39%
28%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
ARS
4 - 1
IPS
71%
20%
10%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
ARS
0 - 1
LIV
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
QPR
3 - 1
ARS
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1995 |
ARS
3 - 2
SAM
39%
29%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |