Sampayo U. vs Rapido Bahia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampayo U.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 1
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
SAM
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
MOS
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 3
SAM
29%
22%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
COT
56%
20%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rapido Bahia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
CAL
40%
21%
39%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
RAP
39%
21%
40%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
SAL
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TER
2 - 1
RAP
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RAP
0 - 8
CER
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |