Samoa vs American Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
+1615%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
9 - 0
SAM
84%
12%
5%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
5 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 10
TAH
12%
20%
68%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -3 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
ASA
90%
8%
2%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
TON
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
6 - 0
ASA
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
ASA
90%
8%
2%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
COK
3%
13%
84%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
TON
2%
11%
86%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TON
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |