American Samoa vs Tonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.4%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
<0%
+1
2.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
11.3%
86.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
22%
0-2
20.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.7%
0-3
16.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
10.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
11.5%
0-5
5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.2%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1615%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TON
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 15
VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 7
SAM
2%
11%
88%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
12 - 1
ASA
95%
5%
1%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
ASA
0 - 10
PNG
1%
9%
90%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
COK
34%
24%
41%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 1
COK
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
TON
1 - 4
VAN
7%
17%
76%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TON
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 1
TON
80%
13%
6%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |