American Samoa vs Tonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
1.6%
Win probability
0.14
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
0.2%
3-2
<0%
+1
1.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.2%
0
12.7%
85.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
21.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
23.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
25.8%
0-3
17.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
0.2%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
31 - 0
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
7 | 89 | 82 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 8
SAM
2%
13%
86%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
FIJ
13 - 0
ASA
92%
7%
2%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
TON
0 - 22
AUS
2%
16%
82%
|
22 | 89 | 67 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
0 - 1
TON
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1996 |
TON
1 - 0
SAM
21%
26%
54%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | +6 |
| 11 Nov. 1996 |
TON
2 - 0
COK
18%
25%
57%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | +7 |