American Samoa vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.6%
84.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
20.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.7%
0-3
15.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1615%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
TON
2%
11%
86%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TON
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 15
VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 7
SAM
2%
11%
88%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
12 - 1
ASA
95%
5%
1%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
COK
2 - 3
SAM
39%
24%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
COK
34%
24%
41%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 1
COK
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
COK
1 - 2
VAN
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
COK
0 - 1
TAH
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |