Sammaurese vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
COR
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 1
SAM
70%
19%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 1
SER
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 0
SAM
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 2
MAR
42%
23%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
ACA
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 3
PRO
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
FOR
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
BAG
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 3
PRO
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |