Samgurali vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
6º
5º
33
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAB
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
DBA
4 - 1
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
FTK
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DTB
5 - 2
SAM
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
GAG
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 2
SHU
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 3
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAB
12%
21%
67%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DBA
1 - 1
SAM
89%
9%
3%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |