Samgurali vs FC Iberia 1999 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
6º
5º
51
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DBA
2 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
FTK
35%
29%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
DTB
2 - 0
SAM
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
TEL
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 1
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SAB
3 - 0
GAG
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 3
SAB
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
GOR
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
2 - 1
SHU
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
DBA
3 - 1
SAB
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |