Samgurali vs FC Telavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
6º
5º
37
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 1
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
3 - 4
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 2
LVI
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
VYS
44%
24%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
KOL
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TEL
0 - 0
GAG
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
TEL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 1
TEL
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 1
GOR
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
DTB
1 - 1
TEL
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |