Samford Rangers vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
52.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samford Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 5
SAM
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAP
10%
18%
73%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 3
UNI
89%
9%
2%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
EAS
9%
17%
75%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
HPH
9%
14%
77%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 0
UNI
89%
9%
3%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |