Samegrelo vs Lazika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
SAM
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
MET
19%
25%
57%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
6 - 1
SAM
78%
15%
8%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 2
KOL
18%
23%
60%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BET
1 - 1
SAM
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lazika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BET
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SKU
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BOR
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LAZ
1 - 2
CHK
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GAG
1 - 0
LAZ
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |