Samegrelo vs Lazika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
65.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
KOL
4 - 1
SAM
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 0
SAM
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 1
MAT
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SAP
6 - 0
SAM
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
KUT
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
LAZ
5 - 0
KOL
71%
17%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
SAP
0 - 0
LAZ
16%
22%
63%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
SAP
0 - 0
LAZ
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
LAZ
3 - 0
KUT
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BAK
1 - 1
LAZ
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |