Samegrelo vs Guria Lanchkhuti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 1
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
ZAB
0 - 0
SAM
19%
19%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
DIN
3 - 2
SAM
22%
20%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 0
FEJ
89%
8%
3%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
ZAB
1 - 2
SAM
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Guria Lanchkhuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
MES
2 - 1
GUR
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MET
3 - 1
GUR
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
GOR
0 - 0
GUR
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
GUR
0 - 2
GOR
22%
28%
51%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
GUR
0 - 2
CHI
24%
27%
50%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -2 |