Samaritaine vs Aiglon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
6º
4º
7
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 8 |
5º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 6 |
6º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
USD
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 3
GOL
30%
23%
48%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CLU
3 - 1
SAM
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AIG
1 - 2
SAM
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
USD
1 - 4
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Aiglon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AIG
2 - 4
CLU
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 0
AIG
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
USD
2 - 0
AIG
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GOL
3 - 0
AIG
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AIG
1 - 2
SAM
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |