Sámano vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
SAM
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
REV
59%
20%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 0
SAM
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 1
CUL
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SDT
1 - 0
SAM
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
ALB
36%
26%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 1
VEL
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 2
SOL
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
REV
0 - 4
VEL
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 3
TRO
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |