Sámano vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 1
SAM
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 3
LRI
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SOL
0 - 2
SAM
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RIB
0 - 1
SAM
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
SMA
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 2
RIB
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 4
VEL
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 1
MER
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
REO
2 - 2
VEL
32%
24%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 2
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |