Sámano vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 0
SAM
31%
23%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
6 - 0
CDV
86%
9%
4%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 0
SAM
27%
24%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 2
SDS
73%
15%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
SOL
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CDV
3 - 3
VEL
9%
16%
75%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
BAR
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SDS
2 - 3
VEL
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
4 - 3
GIM
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |