Sámano vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ARE
1 - 3
SAM
27%
25%
49%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 0
MON
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 2
RIN
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 2
NAV
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LRI
3 - 4
SAN
34%
23%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SOL
62%
21%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NUE
0 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CAY
0 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
41%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |