Sámano vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAM
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
5 - 0
REO
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PON
5 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 3
GIM
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIN
0 - 1
COM
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
GIM
0 - 1
RIN
66%
20%
14%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
RIN
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
RIN
0 - 2
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
RIN
42%
25%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |