Sámano vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
7º
1º
42
2º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 50 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
87.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 0
LAR
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
SAM
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 2
SAM
26%
24%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
ALB
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
REV
4 - 0
GAM
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 1
REV
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
REV
4 - 2
ATM
51%
23%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAY
5 - 1
REV
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
REV
1 - 2
BEZ
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |