Sámano vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RAY
2 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TRO
2 - 0
SAM
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 5
CAY
18%
23%
59%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CUL
1 - 1
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
SIE
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
REV
0 - 1
TRO
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAY
1 - 0
REV
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REV
1 - 1
CUL
54%
24%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 2
REV
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
REV
1 - 1
LAR
21%
24%
55%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |