Sámano vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
SAM
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 0
ARE
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
VEL
3 - 2
SAM
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 0
AYR
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GIM
4 - 1
SAM
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
REV
1 - 0
GAM
31%
24%
46%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
REV
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
REV
3 - 1
COM
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
REV
36%
26%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
REV
1 - 1
CUL
40%
27%
33%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |