Sámano vs Reocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
RIN
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CUL
2 - 2
SAM
38%
26%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
NAV
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 4
RIN
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
REO
4 - 1
RIB
52%
24%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 3
REO
27%
25%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
REO
0 - 1
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SOL
2 - 0
REO
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
REO
2 - 1
NAV
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |