Sámano vs Reocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 3
SAM
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
MER
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REV
0 - 2
SAM
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 0
SDT
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAM
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
REO
3 - 1
SEL
27%
26%
48%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COM
3 - 2
REO
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REO
3 - 1
AYR
41%
25%
34%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
REO
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
REO
2 - 1
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |