Sámano vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
3 - 3
GAM
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SEL
3 - 1
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 1
COM
54%
23%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 3
SAM
44%
25%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 2
SAN
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 3
SEL
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
NAV
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 2
AYR
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAV
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 2
COL
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |