Sámano vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CUL
1 - 1
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
SIE
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
SAM
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 4
GAM
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
SDT
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAY
2 - 1
TRO
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 2
CAY
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CUL
0 - 0
CAY
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAY
5 - 2
SIE
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
CAY
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |